Daoda Investment Notes: The brokerage sector leads the rebound market style?

I saw a hot search early yesterday in the morning, and Da Ge was stunned.

Some shareholders exposed their own stock income, and in the past year, they lost 10.4 million yuan and lost 96%of the principal. What is even more surprising is that such a loss has even defeated 1.72%of the shareholders.

Theoretically, even if you buy the worst stocks in this year, it will not lose 96%of the principal. The reason for the reason is to bring leverage transactions and keep chasing and falling.

Consumer electronics increased

Yesterday, the A -share market rose sharply, and a 180 -degree turn, which can be interpreted from the message. In the night, CPI data in the United States increased by 8.5%year -on -year, giving people a top -up feeling, bringing the Fed's monetary policy to be relatively loose expectations.

Domestically, the State Statistics Bureau data shows that my country ’s CPI in July increased by 2.7%year -on -year. The central bank also announced the next plan. The central bank said that the implementation of stable monetary policy will be strengthened to provide stronger and more quality support for the real economy.

Two favorable blessings, A shares broke out yesterday. On the disk, the securities sector and the consumer electronics sector are the most beautiful. Near the end of the afternoon, the brokerage stocks suddenly soared, and the afternoon continued to remain strong.

Regarding the rebound led by the brokerage sector, many investors are unsatisfactory. The brokerage sector often "one -day tour" and is nicknamed the "scum man" section by investors. Now that the trading commission of securities firms has been declining, under the structural market, it is also difficult for brokers to make money by self -employment. Substitutions and issuance have gradually concentrated on head brokers. The cyclical volatility is volatile according to the Bulls and Bear market. In the structural market, the probability of a full bull market is relatively small. Generally speaking, the life of the brokerage firms is not good, and the fundamentals of the brokerage firms are not supported.

Looking closely at the performance of the brokerage stock yesterday, on the one hand, the number of stocks in the daily limit is not large, and on the other hand, it is not hard enough to close the order.

Regarding the rise of brokerage stocks, market speculation is news about the registration system, but according to media reports after the market, the news was faked.

Next, the brokerage sector will usher in the test. As long as it can be stabilized as the previous semiconductor, there will be no chance of performance. If the big financial led by the securities company can hold it, the performance of the market index can also be expected. Before the brokerage stocks showed continuity, Da Ge could only understand that his rise was to set up the subject matter, and the focus of attention was still on the previous hotspot section.

Consumer electronics rose yesterday. Apple will release a new generation of mobile phones in September. Some analysts posted on social media that the average price of iPhone 14 series models is expected to rise by 15%, mainly due to the rise in iPhone 14 Pro and higher shipments. It is also interesting to say that in September, Huawei will hold a press conference of new Mate50 series.

Da Ge feels that the news of Apple's price increase is not good. It is difficult to say that how much the Apple industry chain can bring, it is difficult to say. The news is just a fuse. On the grounds of favorable news, the low position is replenished. It may be that it had fallen too hard before, the stock price was low, and there was no place for funds to go.

A few days ago was a semiconductor. Yesterday was the consumer electronics and other sectors. The topic of technology should be increased to observe whether it can form a diffusion effect with dot.

Still structural market

Based on yesterday's market, Da Ge felt that the main points were mainly the following:

First of all, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index rose yesterday, laying the foundation for the further market, but it still could not qualitatively entered the upward trend.

The index of the index is good, the mild volume instead of explosion, indicating that there are not many retail investors chasing in, so it is a relatively healthy capacity, indicating that the multi -headed power is exactly the power. kinetic energy.

However, from a structural point of view, the Shanghai Index faces 3,300 points next to the Shanghai Index. This position is the neckline of the clinic area of ​​the box transaction densely in the early stage. It does not rule out that the market will rest here, and then go to the gap above. Due to the accumulation of a lot of suits above this gap, the probability of breaking through the box at once is not high.

Secondly, pay attention to the change of market style. Small -mouth stocks have been active for many days. From the perspective of the CSI 1000 index, if you can't put it next, pay attention to the risk of departure. The large -cap stocks have been suppressed for a long time, and it will not be ruled out that it will be sustainable in the near future. Be careful of this style to switch to small -cap stocks to bring blood drawing effects.

In addition, from the perspective of the hotspot sector, it was previously new energy, recently a technology stock led by semiconductor, and yesterday it is a large financial sector. It has a taste of "Three Kingdoms".

Considering the current market capacity, the full bull market is not realistic, and it is still a local structural market. This means that the new direction strengthening is at the cost of sacrificing some old directions. Therefore, for high -level hotspots, we must set up profit positions and stop losses.

Finally, pay attention to the rhythm of operation. The variety of explosives does need to be paid attention to, but it is not suitable for chasing the rise. You can pay attention to the moderate variety yesterday.

Generally speaking, when the weight sector rises, the stocks are changed faster, so pay attention to the rotation rhythm in the sector. Overall, yesterday, it was attacked as scheduled. The mid -line trend has shown signs of improvement. For holding stocks with low positions, do not frequently exchange stocks.

(Zhang Daoda)

According to the latest regulations of relevant national departments, this note does not involve any operating suggestions, and the risk of entering the market should be borne.

Daily Economic News

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