National Bureau of Statistics: The overall economic recovery of the Economic Overall Accelerates the expansion range of the manufacturing PMI return in June

Author:Cover news Time:2022.06.30

Cover news reporter Teng Yan

As the situation of the epidemic prevention and control continues to improve, the policy and measures of stability of the economy will accelerate the effectiveness of landing, and my country's economic recovery has accelerated. According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on June 30, in June, the manufacturing procurement manager index (PMI) and non To the expansion range.

Manufacturing PMI returns to expansion range

In June, the manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2%, and returned to the expansion range after contraction for three consecutive months, indicating that the manufacturing industry was recovering.

From the perspective of enterprises, PMIs of large and medium -sized enterprises are above the critical point, but small enterprise PMIs are still lower than the critical point (large enterprise PMI is 50.2%, medium -sized enterprises are 51.3%, and small enterprises are 48.6%). However, in terms of trend, compared with last month, large, medium, and small enterprises PMI decreased by 0.8 percentage points, up 1.9 percentage points, and 1.9 percentage points.

"Of the 21 industries surveyed, 13 industries were located in the expansion range. The manufacturing prosperity continued to expand, and positive factors continued to accumulate." Said Zhao Qinghe, a senior statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics.

Of the five classification indexes that constitute the PMI of the manufacturing industry, the production index, the new order index and the supplier delivery time index are higher than the critical point. The raw material inventory index and the employee index are lower than the critical point. Among them, the production index and the new order index were 52.8%and 50.4%, respectively, higher than the 3.1 and 2.2 percentage points of the previous month, and rose to the expansion range, indicating that the company's inhibitory production demand was accelerated in the early stage. From the perspective of industry conditions, the two indexes of automobiles, general equipment, special equipment, computer communication electronic equipment and other industries are higher than 54.0%, and production needs to be recovered faster than the overall manufacturing industry. At the same time, the supplier's delivery time index was 51.3%, which was higher than 7.2 percentage points last month. The delivery time of the supplier's delivery time was significantly accelerated compared with the previous month, which effectively guaranteed the production and operation of enterprises.

From the perspective of the industry, food and wine and beverage refined tea, automobiles, railway ships, aerospace equipment and other industries such as production and operation activities are expected to be higher than 60.0%, and enterprises are expected to be better for the recent market development; textiles, oil and coal and other fuel processing, black Industries such as metal smelting and voltage processing continued to be less than 50.0%, and corporate confidence needs to be strengthened.

Zhao Qinghe pointed out that although the manufacturing industry continued to recover this month, 49.3%of companies still report that the orders were insufficient, and the weak market demand was still the main problem facing the current manufacturing industry. At the same time, the factory price index fell to 46.3%, and it was located in the contraction range for two consecutive months. The profit margin of some enterprises was squeezed to a certain extent, and the operating pressure was large.

Non -manufacturing business activity indexes have rebounded sharply

In June, the non -manufacturing business activity index was 54.7%, an increase of 6.9 percentage points from the previous month. Returning to the expansion range, the level of non -manufacturing prosperity was significantly rebounded for two consecutive months.

Zhao Qinghe said that in June, the domestic epidemic situation was stable as a whole, and the various policies and measures for the help of enterprises to help enterprises gradually landed, and the service industry continued to recover. 7.2 percentage points, returning to the expansion range, the operating conditions of the service industry company have improved compared with May.

The construction industry is promoted to a high boom range

Among the 21 industries surveyed, the business activity index was located from 6 to 19 last month, and the prosperity of the service industry expanded significantly.

Among them, the industry's business activities index that was severely impacted by the epidemic in the early stage has recovered. Railway transportation, aviation transportation and other industries are higher than 65.0%, and the total business volume has increased for two consecutive months. Road transportation, accommodation, catering, ecological protection and environment The governance, cultural sports entertainment and other industries have risen above the critical point, and the total business volume has risen from decline. However, the business activities index of real estate and residential services continue to be lower than the critical point.

From the perspective of market demand and expectations, the expectations of the new order index and business activities are 53.7%and 61.0%, respectively, which is higher than 10.0 and 5.8 percentage points higher than last month. Gradually recover.

It is worth noting that the construction industry has risen to a higher prosperity range, and its business activity index is 56.6%, which is higher than 4.4 percentage points last month. At the same time, the supplier's delivery time index was 50.5%, which was higher than 8.8 percentage points last month, and rose to the expansion range, indicating that the traffic and logistics policies have achieved practical results, and the construction of raw materials in the construction industry is relieved. From the market expectations, the business activities expectations index rose 5.2 percentage points to 63.1%, and companies are more optimistic about the recent development prospects of the industry.

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