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With the arrival of the first solar terms in the autumn, the price of oil that is high within the year is about to usher in a new round of "cooling". At 24:00 on August 9, a new round of domestic oil -based price -adjustment windows will be opened. On the afternoon of the same day, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a notice that according to the recent changes in oil prices in the international market, according to the current refined oil price formation mechanism, since 24:00 on August 9, 2022, domestic auto and diesel prices have decreased by 130 and 125 yuan per ton, respectively. This is the first "four consecutive declines" since 2019.

After the implementation of the price adjustment, at the Petroleum and Gas Station in Shenyang, the No. 92 gasoline was reduced by 0.1 yuan/liter to 8.41 yuan/liter; the 95th gasoline was reduced by 0.12 yuan/liter to 8.96 yuan/liter; , Drop to 8.02 yuan/liter.

Calculated in ordinary private cars with a fuel tank capacity of 50L. After this price adjustment, the owners will spend 5 yuan less for the 92 gasoline.

Analysts predict that based on the current international crude oil price level, the probability of adjusting the price of refined oil in the next round of refined oil products is large. According to the current price adjustment cycle of refined oil, the next price adjustment window will be opened at 24:00 on August 23, 2022.

In the short term, oil prices may be weakly running

During the price adjustment cycle, the manufacturing data of major countries around the world has been weak. Among them, the euro zone PMI index fell below the 50th water division of the 50th, and the US PMI index also dropped to the lowest value in the past two years. Policies have increased the concerns of the market's decline in economic downturn and decline in crude oil. Recently, US crude oil commercial inventory and gasoline inventory have increased significantly by many times, especially at the peak of summer oil use, and the rise in inventory highlights the weak consumption. At present, the oil prices of WIT in London and New York have fallen to the level of $ 96 and $ 90 per barrel.

The National Development and Reform Commission's price monitoring center predicts that oil prices may run weakly in the short term, but there are still many uncertain factors affecting oil prices. In terms of supply, the number of US shale oil rigs rose to a two -year high of 600 seats; Libyan crude oil production was restored; OPEC+at the beginning of the month increased the target of increasing production by 100,000 barrels per day. Generally speaking, the increase in crude oil supply, coupled with the expected economic weakened and demand decline, will jointly lead to the weakened operation of oil prices. However, the focus is still on the impact of changes in geopolitical situations on oil prices, such as the hype of Russian crude oil export prices in Western countries, as well as the impact of climate change and the impact of the hurricane season on production.

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