"Midea to China can not be all throttle, no brakes"

Professor Mika Gao Jon reported on the Global Time News: Midea's action to China cannot be "all throttle, no brakes"

In the past six or seven years, the confrontation between the United States and China has increased. Today, the "orgasm" of this landslide is the US poll data. The data shows that most Americans have negative views on China. Sadly, this has also led to more and more Chinese people now hold obvious negative views on the United States. These actions in Washington are politicians' response to the Chinese public's views on China. They do not want to appear "weak" on the issue of China.

US Congress Building Data Map

As far as the Taiwan issue is concerned, I think the United States will adhere to a Chinese policy. Taiwan is one of the most important issues in Sino -US relations, but not the only problem. Maintaining an effective global governance structure, trade and globalization, network security, and cracking down on terrorism, drug trafficking and population trafficking are all important areas. To maintain the stable relationship between the two parties, Washington must adhere to a Chinese principle. Yes, the United States will continue to support Taiwan in a way of irritating mainland China, and mainland China will also do something that declares sovereignty in the strait. Responsible global powers cannot allow these stimuli to lead to war, but to make them the basis for the two countries to be frank and mutual respect for each other. We need to restart Sino -US relations as soon as possible.

The status quo of the Taiwan Strait has changed, to a large extent due to Trump. During Trump's administration, the United States deepened its relationship with Taiwan regardless of the opposition of mainland China. The Trump administration sold more than $ 18 billion of weapons to Taiwan. Recall that Trump had a call with Tsai Ing -wen before the inauguration. This is the highest -level contact in the United States and Taiwan since 1979. Trump also sent several senior government officials to Taiwan, including a current cabinet member. In the last few weeks of President Trump's term, the U.S. State Department canceled restrictions on the place and method of meeting with US officials with Taiwanese officials for a long time. But don't forget that the Bayeng government continued this policy, continued military sales, and insisted that the Trump administration allowed U.S. officials to meet the decision of Taiwanese officials more freely. Therefore, the status quo of the Taiwan Strait has indeed changed slowly and stable.

However, I am willing to think that the strategic ambiguity of the United States to Taiwan still exists, especially because the United States is still reiterating a Chinese policy intermittently. Frankly speaking, it is not wise to give up a Chinese policy in the United States. Will the US public be willing to fight this country because of the historic territory of a nuclear country? The Taiwan issue may arouse the interest and attention of the United States, but it is not the most concerned issue for American leaders or citizens.

On the Taiwan issue, the United States' thinking is screwed. On the one hand, we seem to hope that there are guardrails and talk well when we cooperate in bilateral; on the other hand, some of the American actions have adopted a more hostile attitude towards China. In this environment, it will only encourage more and more good remarks. U.S. media and certain political opinions leaders tend to biporate when describing Chinese armed forces: the Chinese People's Liberation Army is either a paper tiger, because it has no combat experience for decades; or a behemoth, it will occupy Taiwan within a day, use it to use it, and use it. Nuclear weapons attacking the Pacific Fleet. Maybe we should see the true appearance of the PLA: very similar to the U.S. military. It is a modern army with the most advanced weapon system, convincing military theory, and quite strong force projection capabilities. It can also protect its strategic interests. Perhaps this should be enough to splash a pot of cold water on the face of the American public opinion that misunderstand the PLA to encourage the ease and reduce the good words of good fighting.

The performance of the United States in Afghanistan last year, and in order to avoid the direct conflict between it and NATO's direct conflict with Russia, decided not to provide combat support to Ukraine, which harmed its strategic reputation. In summary, these actions have weakened the ability of the United States to build trust with the allies. This may explain why Biden repeatedly stated and ensured that he would defend Taiwan with force, intended to enhance the credibility of the United States in Taiwan. The United States has long supported self -defense in Taiwan through military sales and close military relations. The United States is repeating this commitment information as much as possible to reduce the concerns of Taiwanese people, that is, they may be forced to resist the PLA alone. The cost is the displacement of thousands of people's death and possible people.

I am willing to think that there is a braking mechanism between China and the United States, but I am worried that the US policy is currently falling into the thinking mode of "all throttle, no brakes". This thinking mode is driven by some politicians and public opinion in the midterm election cycle. of. The Biden government continued the process of the former US president and slowly diluted the connotation of China. Emphasizing the "relationship with Taiwan" and "six guarantees" to Taiwan, and at the same time ignoring the three joint communiqués of China and the United States, Washington is on a path that slowly loses a Chinese policy consensus. I am increasingly worried that we are seeing a trend that deviates from peaceful coexistence and adopt the Cold War thinking against China. This mentality insisted on using China as a scapegoat of some domestic social disadvantages, and labeled it from academic to hygiene, from intelligent technology to economy, and other occasions.

However, I am optimistic about whether China and the United States will explode military conflict on the issue of Taiwan.Some realists may tend to have higher probability.However, due to so many ships and planes in the region, as well as increasingly hostile remarks, due to errors, misunderstandings about intention, misunderstanding of threats, misunderstandings about official statements, even technical faults or failures, conflicts occurred in conflicts.The possibility of the possibility is not just external.Going along this road will make us get closer and closer to the war. This is what China and the United States do not want, and it will be unbearable in the world.(This article is the 15th edition of the Global Times on August 2, 2022. The author is the director of the Department of Political Science and Geography, the University of San Antonio University at the University of Texas).

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