Both Russia and Ukraine said that the war situation will have a "major breakthrough", and the "Donbas Battle" is close to the finals?

Author:Global Times Time:2022.08.17

[Global Times special reporter Liu Yupeng Renzhong] As the Russian and Ukraine conflict fell into a stalemate, both Russia and Ukraine recently declared "major progress". The Russian army recently announced that two strategic sites have been seized in the direction of Donetsk and Halkov. Russian military experts generally believe that after lagging this hard bone, it will eventually win the "Battle of Donbas" against the Russian army. To play a pivotal role. The Ukrainian army used the "Haimas" system to attack the Antonovsky Bridge on the Dieber River, hoping to weaken the supply line from Russia to the Hermuson. Wufang experts believe that the fate of Hermone will be decided in the next few weeks.

A "Donetsk Republic" militia at Pesky on the 12th.

It is of great significance

How much significance is the Russian Army captured the Pesky residents and the Udi residents in the Halkov region?

Russia's "Viewpoint" reported on the 13th that "why capturing Pesky will be the key to liberating the entire Donbas" as the title report that the captured Pesky Village has been the eight years of the Ukraine. Important base. After seizing it, the Russian army can accelerate to advance to cities such as Bachmut and Soridal. Russian experts believe that Pesky's loss threatens the Ukraine in Afjevca. The main task of the Russian army is to capture Afjevca from the north and south and cut off the highway that supply supplies. Russian military expert Leonkov believes that Pesky is a defensive work of the Ukrainian army south of Afjevca, which can launch an attack on this strategic city from here.

Russia's "Military Observer" reported on the 14th that the report released by the American Institute of War (ISW) stated that the Ukraine was in an extremely difficult situation in the Afjevca area west of Donetz. This is because Pesky is actually a real fortress of the Ukraine. After Ukrainian lost Pesky, the Russian army was attacking Afjevca from multiple directions to try to surround the city's Ukraine. Once the encirclement is formed, the Ukraine of Afjevca will lose its ability to replenish. At present, at least 100 personnel are lost every day in this area. This may cause the Ukraine to withdraw directly to Slavank and Clarmatusk.

The attacked bridge.

Russia's "Political" Expert Network reported on the 15th that Russian military observer Yuri Lypadlia said that it was very important to win the Udri residents. The Russian army completely cleared the armed personnel who had previously tried to shoot Russian territory from there. After breaking through the defense of the Ukrainian army in this area, the Russian army actually attacked the Halkov's Ukraine forces from the northwest and moved westward. When the Zoolicov region was controlled by the Russian army, the Ukrainian forces stationed in Halkov would face major issues.

According to the Ukrainian National News Agency, the General Staff of the Ukraine reported on the 15th that the Russian army tried to break through the Ukraine defense in the Halkov region that day, but was repelled by the Ukraine. In addition, the offensive of the Russian army in the Donetsk area Slavicank, Clarmatusk, Afjevca and other directions have not been successful.

According to a report by Russia on the 16th, on the 15th local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense said that the Russian Air Force has cracked down on a temporary deployment point of a foreign mercenaries in Halkov and two commanders in Ukraine, killing more than 100 Mercenaries from Poland and Germany. In addition, the Russian army cracked down on multiple Ukraine ammunition libraries and fuel warehouses in the Halkov region.

On the 16th, the British Department of Defense summarized the latest Russian and Ukraine intelligence on Twitter: The Russian and Black Sea Fleet surface ship continued to adopt an extreme defense attitude, and patrols were generally limited to the waters of the Crimean coast. This is in stark contrast to the activity of the Russian Navy in other sea areas. The Russian and Black Sea Fleet continued to use long -range cruise missiles to support ground offense, but at present, it is unable to effectively implement maritime control. The limited combat power of the Heihai Fleet is destroying the overall strategy of Russia. The part of the reason is that the Russian army has basically eliminated the "threat" of the "threat" of Adessa amphibians.

"Hermone's fate will be decided in the next few weeks"

In addition to the Wudong region, the Russian and Ukraine army has continued to cross fire in Hermuson recently. The Ukraine used the "Hamas" to crack down on the key bridges of Hermuson, trying to weaken the Russian replenishment line through the Hermuson area. Own experts believe that Hermone's fate will be decided in the next few weeks.

The United States "News Weekly" reported on the 14th that Ukraine used the "Hamas" multi -tube rocket system provided by the United States in Hermuson to crack down on Antonovsky Bridge. The British Department of Defense said that Ukraine has been working hard to regain two key bridges leading to Hermuson. The bridge is currently severely damaged due to fighting. Last week, a major railway bridge near Hulson was damaged by the Ukraine attack. Although the Russia manages it to repair it, it still cannot be used normally. Right now, the Russian army provides a supply for thousands of Russian troops in Hermone through two floating bridge ferries. The Associated Press reported that the supply inventory in Hermone was likely to be a key factor that determined how long the local Russian army could persist.

Ukrainian National News Agency reported on the 15th that Ukrainian military expert Alexander Musinko said that the Russian army on the right bank of the Hermuson area was trapped. This situation was because the Ukraine successfully cut off the transit point of the Russian army. The Russian army sent 10,000 to 112,000 military personnel in the right bank of the Hermuson area and strengthened their positions there. Now they are cut off. Once they try to repair any bridge or transit point, they will be attacked immediately like the Antonovsky Bridge. The Ukrainian army will continue to control the firepower to cut off the logistics support of the Russian army. He said that the Ukrainian army occupied the right position in the south, which helps to destroy the Russian logistics supply and crack down on the cannon and ammunition of the Russian army. According to Utong News Agency on the 15th, Ukrainian military expert Oleg, Nagonov said that the fate of the Hermuson region occupied by the Russian army may be determined in the next few weeks. He said: "If we destroy most of the ammunition depot of the Russian army within two weeks and prevent it from transferring equipment to the right bank, then from the third week, we may feel that the Russian army's combat capability has dropped sharply, and it is likely to start began retreat."

However, in the eyes of the Russian army, the situation of the battle is different from Ukraine. Russia's "Viewpoint" reported on the 16th that the Russian Minister of Defense Shogu said at the opening ceremony of the International Security Conference of Moscow: "The Ukrainian army's loss is huge, Kyiv conceal the real figures, but the testimony of prisoners of war lets us know the Ukraine army. The real situation. Over time, these data will be made public. "

Shogu said that the Russian "special military operations" broke the myth of providing "super weapons" to Ukraine in the West. Initially, Western Xiangwu provided "javelin" anti -tank missiles. Recently, the "Haimas" multi -tube rocket system and long -range howitzer were respected as high -end weapons by Western media, but these weapons did not have a significant impact on the situation.

"Battle of Don" is close to the finals?

After taking two key points in the Donbass region, many experts believe that this will have a key impact on the future Wudong War. Maybe a major breakthrough of a strategic impact on the "Donbass War" is about to occur?

Russia's "Free Media" reported on the 14th that Western intelligence agencies have reported that the Russian army will occupy Odeza, Nicholaev, Halkov and Dieberlo Peter Peter in the fall.

A unknown military expert told the Global Times reporter on the 16th that from the current situation of the Russian offensive, in the direction of Donetsk's main attack, the strategy of "multi -blooming" Clarmatsk, Sheversk, Afjevka, Bachurut, and Donetsk City have launched an offensive. The more clear contrast, which also fully reflects the urgent psychology of the Russian army to end the war in the Donetsk area as soon as possible. Faced with the almost comprehensive offensive of the Russian army, the Ukraine stationed in Donetsk undoubtedly faced a huge pressure than before, especially the space that it was difficult to make it moved to the smaller and smaller.

However, experts believe that it is also necessary to pay attention to the tactical choice of multi -directional and multi -city attacks in the Russian army in the Donetsk region. It undoubtedly disperse its own strength and resources, and the U -military defense is also stronger. Judging from the current public information, the offensive operations of the Russian army are mainly based on the peripherals of these key cities. According to the current combat situation, the Russian army has not yet touched these key cities itself. From this point of view, although the Russian media is very optimistic, it may take time to form a real breakthrough.

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