Germany has planned for this matter for 30 years, and now it is going to be "falling"

Author:Global Times Time:2022.08.18

The Spanish "Uprising" website published an article on August 17 that although it is difficult to determine the potential winner of the Russian -Ukraine conflict, it is easier to see potential losers, Australian economist Joseph Harlevi said "German Group" may It is one of them. This group extends from Switzerland to Hungary and is a group of economically interconnected countries.

The article states that we find new difficulties brought out of Russia out of the world economy every day. Part of the reason is that the sanctions on Russia are not as good as expected, and it is even beneficial to Moscow. This will cause the "German Group" strategic plan over the past 30 years.

Joseph Harlevi believes that since the collapse of the Berlin Wall and the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Germany has been seeking to build an interdependent economy. The West Wing (Austria, Switzerland, Belgium and the Netherlands) and East Wing (Czech, Slovakia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovenia) of this economic group each perform their duties.

Harlevi said that the ultimate goal of the "German Group" is to establish a continental line of Europe and Asia, with both ends connected with Germany and China, and Russia is an indispensable connector. This explains why the Germans once insisted on promoting the second -line project of Beixi Natural Gas Pipeline.

The article pointed out that the Russian and Ukraine conflict ended the dream of Eurasia's common economic space. The "German Group" strategists were forced to modify the entire plan.

A small but important data shows what changes have taken place in the rules of the game: In May 2022, Germany's monthly trade revenue and expenditure appeared for the first time since 1991. Although the amount is not large (only about 1 billion US dollars), this is a trade deficit that cannot be imagined not long ago.

The article believes that as the Russian and Ukraine conflicts are carried out, there is no lack of precedent: Germany's strategic encounter failure. In this crisis, losers are still Germans.

Source: Reference message

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