"I want to win China and plan a big heel!" Japan fell into the "Indian high -speed rail dilemma"

Author:Look at the think tank Time:2022.06.24

Regarding the latest progress of the India's first high-speed rail project, the first high-speed rail project from China, the latest progress of the Indian high-speed rail project, once again attracted online attention.

Japan's "Asahi Shimbun" and other media recently revealed that the high -speed rail is currently only about 10 kilometers. The epidemic has caused the construction to postpone the construction. Japan received a "hot potato", and many parties were reflecting on the lessons brought by the project.

What does the high -speed rail of India have been built? What difficulties to encounter? What does the two countries think of this high -speed rail?

Wen | Yuan Jirong Jiang Feng

This article is reproduced from the WeChat public account "Global Network" (ID: huanqiu-com). The original first published on June 23, 2022. The original title was "Raising orders from China", Japan discovered ... "does not mean that it does not mean Watching think tank viewpoint.

1

The 508 -kilometer project, only 10 kilometers in 5 years

The Indian Ministry of Railways released a video of Mumbai-Ahamadbad high-speed rail construction video produced by National High-speed Railway Group Co., Ltd. on May 23. It will usher in revolutionary changes. "

The reporter noticed that the video mainly shows the construction of the Mumbai Wharf Rotary Club and the Wellfoundation section (Pierfoundation). From the perspective of the drone, the video shows the high -rise bridge pier under construction. Some are pouring cement. Some of them have been completed, and the spreading pier looks spectacular. In addition, there are project camps and prefabricated parts, the cross -river bridge and the upcoming railway station under construction. But there are no rails in the video, and there are no railways completed. The most widely played pier in the video is the most widely spread, which should have a few kilometers long.

According to the news on June 14th, the high -speed rail connected to the commercial city of Mumbai and the industrial city of Gragillat Bang in Mahara Satra, Ahamedbad, with a total length of 508 kilometers. Starting in 2017, only about 10 kilometers have been built.

India needs huge data in railway construction Source: Foreign media

According to the plan, the high -speed rail speed is 320 kilometers per hour, and the journey time of Mumbai to Ahmed Bad has been shortened from the current 7 hours to 2.58 hours. Each train accommodates more than 1,300 passengers, and the fare ranges from 250 rupees (about 8.6 yuan) to 3,000 rupees.

On the day of the video release, according to the Japanese information website NNA, the Japanese Embassy in India and the Indian government signed an additional 100 billion yen (about 4.92 billion yuan) loans for Mumbai-Ahamadbad high-speed high-speed The third phase of the railway. The annual interest rate of 100 billion yen provided by Japan to India has an annual interest rate of 0.1%, the repayment period is 50 years, and the width period is 15 years.

Below this news, Japanese netizens left a message, "Give it to technology and give money, what is the picture?" "When is it?" "Japan was really settled by India!" "I want to win China Big Heel! "

As Japanese netizens are worried, they have been hailed by the Japanese government as "the flagship business symbolizing the new era of Japan and India" -mo-buy-Ahmed Bad high-speed railway has become a major heart disease in Japan, a pit that fills.

2

India and Japan's thoughts

Mumbai-Ahmed Bad high-speed rail was unveiled by Indian Prime Minister Modi and then then the then Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. It was originally planned to open operations on the occasion of the 75th anniversary of India this year, but countless challenges and postponed. The completion date is postponed to at least December 2028.

Modi and the then Prime Minister of Japan Abe's information map

During the reporter in India, he knew the background of this high -speed rail project. Mumbai-Ahmed Bad high-speed rail is the first high-speed railway in India. India has always hoped to transform and upgrade the old and backward railway systems, and then drive the "manufacturing of India." Facing the Indian railway market, China and Japan were actively striving for. Japan, especially in this area, spent Modi in November 2016. In November 2016, Modi visited Japan. The then Prime Minister Shinzo Abe made an exception to modify the reception plan and invited Modi to take the new trunk line. The purpose was to promote the new trunk line to India. Although the Indian Japan did not sign the high -speed rail agreement at the time, Japan hoped to show its own fists by winning the Indian contract with China. To this end, Japan offers 5 trillion yen low -interest loans as competitive chips. At that time, China was also trying to enter the Indian high -speed rail market and did a lot of work for this. But in the end, for geopolitical considerations, India boldly gave the first high -speed rail project to Japan.

However, from the perspective of Japanese media, this project is currently facing three major difficulties: one is the delay of land acquisition. According to Japan's "Asahi Shimbun" on June 11, 96%of the land acquisition of Gujarat in 2018 has been reached. But as of September 2021, Mahara Satrabon levied only 30%of the land.

The second is that the cost of engineering continues to swell. According to Japan's "Yomiuri Shimbun" reported on June 14, the total cost of the Japanese government's calculation was 1.68 trillion yen, but the epidemic caused the construction to postpone the extension of the construction, increasing the labor cost, and the cost has expanded to about 3 trillion yen. According to the Asahi Shimbun, the current target period has been opened within 2023 to 2028, but how much engineering costs need to be filled, but they are not willing to make public. An executive of a Japanese international company reviewed in an interview with the Global Times special reporter in Japan that the total engineering fee estimated by the Japanese government at the beginning "can be seen that a little experienced person can see that it cannot be handled at all. Obviously the government The project took off his teeth and deliberately lowered the quotation. At that time, the government fought high -speed rail business war with China and other places. In order to win, he could not care about so much. " The executive also said that although the opening time was postponed from 2023 to 2028, no one believed that it could be opened to traffic in 2028.

Third, both daily India does not trust each other. "Asahi Shimbun" revealed on June 11 that the expansion of the project cost is mainly due to India's request to re -modify the elevated design of the line. It is believed that only in this way can the collision of domestic animals such as high -speed rail and cattle and sheep. In addition, the Indian government insists that the cost generated by the modification of the line design must be borne by the Japanese side. In order to reduce costs, companies responsible for civil engineering have to be replaced by Japanese companies. This change has also made the Indian government believe that in the beginning, Indian companies were not needed, that is, Japan is engaged in ghosts. The two sides are currently in a state of distrust.

Not only is the Japanese people angry, the Indians are also divided into two factions. One faction fully supports it. It is believed that this is a symbol of the new India. The other faction believes that the cost is too high and it can be used to improve other infrastructure. The netizen named "Desmk" said, "Is the bullet train more economical? Mumbai arrives at Ahamedbad to only 1,800 rupees, and the bullet fare is 3,000 rupees. Which is more meaningful?" Another netizen named Shilma said that the Japanese will lose interest in this high -speed railway. No country can take over. Some large Indian companies will take over in the name of self -reliance. Indian taxpayers will eventually pay the project double Double loan.

3

Fixed Japan

The United States CNN recently reported that the Indian railway mileage currently ranks fourth in the world, second only to the United States, China, and Russia. However, the Indian high -speed rail revolution is currently underway. In addition to the Mumbai-Ahmed Bad high-speed rail, India also approved the construction of eight high-speed rail. Among them, 4 of them have been prepared to build at the beginning of this year, with a length of more than 8,000 kilometers. However, the financial situation of the Indian railway company is at stake, and it also endangers the construction of high -speed rail.

Japan received a "hot potato", which is increasingly interested in the Indian high -speed rail market. "India Express" recently reported that in the face of high costs, Japanese companies are not keen on this project. The first high -speed rail project in India was in trouble due to the low participation of Japanese companies and excessive bidders. Japanese companies did not participate in the construction of a 21 -kilometer underground section of Mumbai. In addition, among the 11 bids that were originally intended to be performed by the Japanese company, many bid quotes were 90%higher than the original offer of the project. It is understood that India expressed rejection.

"Asahi Shimbun" analysis believes that Japanese India needs to help each other to contain China, and India has long seen through the Japanese government's cards, so it is constantly adding conditions. "In short Whoever wishes to pay for ".

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