In July, the property market "bottomed out" the industry again: look forward to "gold nine silver ten"

Author:China Economic Network Time:2022.08.15

China Economic Net, Beijing, August 15th (Reporter Li Fang) The property market was restored in June, and the bottom of the bottom of July appeared again. According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics today, the number of new houses and second -hand housing prices declined slightly in July, and the price decline was expanding or flat.

People in the industry believe that compared with the recovery situation in the second quarter, the current resistance has been slightly resistant, indicating that the recovery of house prices is facing various new situations. Some key cities have a good overall performance, but they must also prevent some hype. Still worth looking forward to.

First -tier cities are still "leaders" for the market

In July, the sales price of new commercial housing in first -tier cities rose 0.3%month -on -month, and the increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the sales price of second -hand residential houses rose 0.2%month -on -month, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month.

In terms of new houses, Beishangguangshen rose 0.5%, rose 0.5%, rose 0.3%, and fell 0.2%. In terms of second -hand houses, Beishangguangshen rose 0.2%, rose 0.8%, rose 0.1%, and fell 0.5%.

"The first -tier cities are still the" leader of the sheep 'in the market, and the price of one -second house is generally rising. "Zhang Bo, the dean of the 58 Anju House Research Institute, said that in July, the North is still cautious at the level of policy relaxation. This itself itself is itself. It is directly related to the stable recovery of the market. Not only is the performance of house prices stable, but it is also remarkable from the performance of commercial housing transactions and the performance of the soil shooting market.

"The increase in Shanghai's new houses and second -hand housing ranks among the top. Although it was affected by the epidemic in the early stage, the overall toughness was strong, and the market recovered rapidly after the epidemic." Said Chen Xiao, a senior analyst at the Zhuge Housing Data Research Center.

The differentiation of second -tier cities continues

In July, the sales price of new commercial housing in second -tier cities rose by 0.1%from the previous month to the same month; the sales price of second -hand housing decreased by 0.2%month -on -month, and the decrease was 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. The sales prices of new commercial housing and second -hand housing in third -tier cities decreased by 0.3%month -on -month, and the decline was the same as last month.

From the perspective of cities, the prices of new houses and second -hand housing in Chengdu have reappeared again, with an increase of 1%and 1.3%, respectively. Chengdu topped the list for many consecutive months. After two loosening policies in May, the market responded significantly. The demand for house purchase was released in large quantities, and the price rose for many months.

In addition, in terms of new houses, Nanchang, Yangzhou, Hangzhou, and Hefei rings rose 0.8%, 0.8%, 0.7%, 0.7%, respectively. Xi'an, Beijing, Shanghai and other cities followed closely. In terms of second -hand houses, Yantai, Shanghai, Hefei, Nanchong, Nanchang and other increased increases.

"The differentiation of second -tier cities is still continuing. From the perspective of market differentiation, the new first -tier performance is more obvious compared to the third and fourth -tier performance. At the same time, from the rhythm of loosening the new first -tier policy, most of them are biased towards the mode of relaxation of steps, especially for purchase restrictions and purchase restrictions and purchase and purchase and purchase restriction The adjustment of the down payment ratio will be more conservative. It is expected that the popularity of hotspots in second -tier cities will become the second share of the market's continuous recovery. "Zhang Bo said.

Yan Yuejin, the research director of the Think Tank Center of the E -House Research Institute, believes that compared with the recovery situation in the second quarter, the current resistance has been slightly resistant, indicating that the recovery of house prices is facing various new situations. Some key cities have a good overall performance, but they must also prevent some hype. "The relaxation of policies in various localities in August still increases, including the proportion of down payment of the second house, the amount of provident quota, etc., which objectively helps promote market data recovery, and it also has a positive effect on housing prices."

Looking forward to the market outlook, Zhang Bo believes that the recovery of the market in September and October is still worth looking forward to. The first -tier cities and the second line of hotspots will become the "core force" of the market heat. The property market.

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