The average price of pork in Shandong was 37.55 yuan/kg in the 28th week, up 5.95% month -on -month

Reporter Yang Lu

The reporter learned from the Shandong Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau that in the 28th week of this year (July 11th-July 17th), the price of pigs in Shandong shocked at a high level, but the increase was narrowed. The price of fat pigs and pork continued to rise, and the price of piglets continued to increase.

According to the target of the 26 market price market prices in the province, the average price of fat pigs in the province in the 28th weekend was 23.54 yuan/kg, a year -on -year increase of 46.48%, and 0.30%month -on -month. The average pork price this week was 37.55 yuan/kg, a year -on -year increase of 32.03%, and 5.95%month -on -month.

The price of piglets rebounded for 15 consecutive weeks this week. According to the monitoring of the Shandong Provincial Animal Husbandry Station, as of the 28th weekend, the price of pigs in Shandong Province was 48.89 yuan/kg, a year -on -year decrease of 1.73%, and 1.81%month -on -month.

"In the second half of the year, the market is optimistic, and the enthusiasm for supplementing the column has continued to increase, and the price of piglets has continued to rise." Animal sheet experts said that the price of 15 kilograms of pigs in the scale this week reached 800 yuan/head, 50 kg weight dual dual sow sow sows The price reached 1837 yuan/head, and the weekly rose slightly by 0.9%. The price increase of binary sows was less than the price of piglets, which reflected the industry's optimistic expectations for the second half of the year. The supplementary column has not occurred, and the market market continues to rise with the price of pigs.

As the price of pig prices shrink, the profit of pig farming has decreased. The price of pig food this week was 8.09: 1, a year -on -year increase of 47.63%, and a 0.62%increase from the previous month. Monitoring data shows that foreigners have been profitable for seven consecutive weeks. Thanks to the rise in pig prices, it began to raise losses in July. As of the 28th weekend, the weekly profit was 600 yuan/head. At the same time, the breeding profit of piglets reached 760 yuan/or more.

This week, during the week, the amount of pigs raw pigs in the week was more frequent, and farmers had the emotional emotions of the fences, and small and medium farmers performed more positive. During the survey of Shandong Animal Husbandry Station, farmers with more than 120 kit of fertilizer in Pingping County had a storage column and a fat pig weighed 120 kg. They said that the current good market fat pigs needed more than 40 days and weighed more than 150 kg.

Experts analyze that farmers boost the bullish emotion, the industry's internal pressure fences and secondary fattening behaviors will lead to tight supply of pig supply; the terminal demand is weak, the amount of white strips is slow, the slaughtering enterprises have a loss of losses, the willingness to press the price is obvious, the supply and demand are two, and the supply and demand The game increased, and the overall shock adjustment of the pig price. It is expected that the pig price will continue to adjust the trend next week.

What is the price trend of pork in the later period? In the third quarter, with the decline in the supply of pigs and the seasonal demand further, it is expected that pig prices are expected to remain strong.

According to expert analysis, the first is that from the early stage of sow production capacity, the overall column in the second half of the year is still a contraction trend. Since last year, the achievements of production capacity have gradually appeared, and the cumulative effect of the decline in sow derived the decrease in the supply of pigs. From the perspective of the changes in the pork sow, in July 2021, the first month -on -month decline in the pork sow, which responded to the marginal decline in the pig supply after 10 months, and the price of pig prices began in mid -April. The reducing rhythm of the production capacity of Fan Sow is basically consistent with the rhythm. The production capacity in July corresponds to the amount of sowing pork in October. In the current period, the number of pig farms in Shandong Province is 2.44%year -on -year, and 1.15%month -on -month decreased by 1.15%. The reduction is much higher than in the previous month, and the production of pigs' production can lead to tightening the current supply.

The second is that the epidemic is good for consumption, and the price of pigs is still strong. From a historical perspective, August to September is the month when the price of pigs is warmed to the year. The demand for pigs in the peak season is gradually recovered.

Third, overseas inflation affects imported pork cost -effective, and the overall import volume is not high. According to data from the General Administration of Customs, 680,000 tons of pork imported from my country from January to May, a year-on-year decrease of 65.3%.

However, experts said that in the long run, the sow can be sufficient, and there is no basic conditions for continued significantly rising in the later period. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, at the end of the second quarter, my country ’s capable sow storage column was 42.77 million, an increase of 2.03%month -on -month. If the price of pigs maintained a good level, there was still a possibility of possibilities for the backbone of the backbone. Farmers should rationally make up the fence to overcome obedience and understand the "pig cycle" rationally. At the same time, we must also pay attention to strengthening management and reducing costs.

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