National Bureau of Statistics: The economy is expected to achieve reasonable growth in the second quarter

On May 22, a large container ship is transporting container charts/visual China

Industrial production has risen from a decline, and the national economy operation in May shows a recovery momentum

Yangcheng Evening News reporter Chen Zeyun Wang Li

On June 15, the National New Office held a press conference to introduce the operation of the national economy. Fu Linghui, a spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics and Director of the Comprehensive Statistics Department of the National Economic Economic Affairs, pointed out that the national economy has remedied the momentum, and the economy is expected to achieve reasonable growth in the second quarter.

Main economic indicators improved more

Fu Linghui pointed out that with the overall improvement of the domestic epidemic prevention and control situation, the effect of steady growth policies and measures has gradually emerged, and the positive changes in economic operation have increased, and most of the main indicators have improved.

From the perspective of the production side, the industry and service industries have risen:

Among them, industrial production has risen from falling. In May, industries above designated size increased by 0.7%year -on -year, and last month decreased by 2.9%. The manufacturing industry increased by 0.1%in May, a 4.6%decrease last month. The decline in the service industry has also narrowed.

From the perspective of demand, the demand for domestic market has accelerated, and the import and export of foreign trade are significantly accelerated:

Among them, in May, the total retail sales of social consumer goods decreased by 6.7%year -on -year, a decrease of 4.4 percentage points from the previous month. Investment grows steadily. From January to May, the investment in fixed assets increased by 6.2%year-on-year, maintaining basically stability. Among them, infrastructure investment increased by 6.7%, and the growth rate accelerated by 0.2 percentage points from January to April.

Foreign trade and logistics have gradually improved, the production of foreign trade enterprises has resumed, and the release of foreign trade orders in the early stage, and the growth of import and export of goods.

Urban survey unemployment decline

With the continuous efforts of the stable employment policy, the employment situation has improved, and the unemployment rate of urban investigation has declined.

In May, the national urban survey rate was 5.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from last month. Among them, the unemployment rate of employment subjects at the age of 25-59 was 5.1%, which was 0.2 percentage points fell from last month. "This indicates that the basic market for employment is improved." Fu Linghui pointed out.

In addition, foreign agricultural households' investigation of unemployment was 6.2%, which was 0.4 percentage points fell from last month. "The main body of this part of the personnel is migrant workers, mainly engaged in labor -intensive industries such as manufacturing, construction, and wholesale and retail. Private individual households and flexible employment are mostly, and the employment stability is relatively poor. "Fu Linghui said that the improvement of employment of migrant workers in May also reflects the improvement of economic operations and the effectiveness of employment policies and measures.

However, it is worth noting that the impact of the impact of the epidemic on employment has not been completely eliminated. From the perspective of the general unemployment rate, it is still at a high level. At the same time, the unemployment rate of young people is high. The unemployment rate of young people aged 16-24 is 18.4%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from last month.

Fu Linghui said that this year's college graduates reached 10.76 million. With the advent of the graduation season, college graduates enter the labor market, which may further increase employment pressure.

It is expected to achieve reasonable growth

Since entering the second quarter, in April, due to the influence of multiple epidemics in April, the main economic indicators have declined, the epidemic prevention and control in May, and actively changing production demand. Can the economy in the second quarter achieve positive growth? Where is the growth momentum?

Fu Linghui said that from the perspective of advanced indicators, the total investment of newly started projects from January to May increase by 23.3%year-on-year, maintaining a rapid increase. And with the acceleration of the re -production of enterprises, especially the improvement of industrial production in areas with a relatively large impact of the epidemic in the early stage, it will accelerate the support of industrial production. In addition, the market operation is also expected to improve. From the perspective of transportation and logistics, in May, the number of cargo turnover across the country increased by 3.4%year -on -year. With the continuous advancement of logistics guarantee, the traffic logistics status in June will be further improved.

In terms of policy, in May, the State Council officially issued the "A Policy Measures for the Economy and Stable Economy", which included 33 specific measures in 6 aspects. These measures are expected to gradually show their efficiency in June to promote economic stability. The effective implementation of the large -scale tax refund policy has played a positive role in alleviating the pressure of enterprises. At the same time, the efforts of financial support for the real economy have continued to increase, and the status of corporate funds has been improved.

"In June, with the implementation of a set of policies and measures for the steady growth, economic operations are expected to improve further." Fu Linghui said that with the joint efforts of all aspects, the economy is expected to achieve reasonable growth in the second quarter.

Focus Q & A

Keywords: food and energy

Since the beginning of this year, the international situation has been complicated and severe, especially the geopolitical conflict has intensified, leading to the price of international commodities, especially the price of food and energy, is there any guarantee for food and energy supply?

Fu Linghui, spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics and Director of the Comprehensive Statistics of the National Economic Economic Affairs, said that from the current situation, geopolitical conflicts have led to increased impact on Russia and Ukraine's grain production on the world. In the face of this situation, many countries have introduced measures to restrict food exports, further exacerbating the contradiction between supply and demand, and global grain prices continue to operate high.

"my country continues to increase measures to stabilize food production." Fu Linghui introduced, in general, my country has always attached great importance to grain production and food safety in recent years. The inventory is relatively abundant.Although the domestic food prices have recently risen due to international factors, the level is significantly lower than the international level.From the current situation, summer grain production is already in the harvest stage, and it is expected to gain better harvest.In terms of energy, my country's energy oil and natural gas have a certain dependence on the outside world, but my country's energy subject is still coal.Fu Linghui said that the domestic coal reserves are relatively abundant and the production capacity is relatively abundant. Since this year, coal production has remained rapidly growing.In addition, my country has also made positive progress in the diversified guarantee of energy imports. In May, clean energy power generation increased to double digits, which are conducive to ensuring energy stability.

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