Can the EU "solar terms" "save" Germany

On July 27, the energy confrontation between Russia and the European Union upgraded again. Russia's natural gas industry shares will be halved through the natural gas flow transported by the "Beixi-1" natural gas pipeline, and only one-fifth of the original natural gas flows from Russia to Germany through the pipeline to Germany. The "Beixi-1" natural gas pipeline is an important pipeline that transports natural gas from Russia to Europe, accounting for one-third of all natural gas exported to Europe. Not long ago, Russia has reduced the natural gas traffic through the pipeline once, making natural gas flow only 40%of the normal period. The natural gas transported by Russia to Europe has decreased again, making the European Union trying to reserve natural gas before the winter heating season arrives.

Russia will reduce supply on technical issues, but the European Union said that Russia uses natural gas as weapons, "blackmail" and revenge on Western sanctions. With the sharp decrease in natural gas supply, on the 27th, the price of natural gas in the European wholesale market soared 14%. As of press time, natural gas prices have risen by 25%this week. European electricity prices are synchronized with natural gas, and the electricity prices of major countries have also raised up, which has further intensified the high -level inflation.

Germany is the largest imported country in Europe and Russia's natural gas. Since mid -June, Germany has been hit by Russia. With the economic pressure caused by assisting Ukraine, the German government also had to allocate 15 billion euros to rescue UniPer, a natural gas importer who was in trouble due to Russian natural gas issues. At present, Germany is in the second stage of the third stage of the natural gas emergency use plan. Once the natural gas supply cannot be guaranteed in the future, it will have to enter the final "distribution stage". The German economy will inevitably be hit. It will be severely damaged. As the prices of consumer goods and industrial products soared, Europe may face serious social problems.

In view of the current severe situation, on the evening of July 26, the EU countries approved an urgent agreement to save natural gas to curb the current EU demand for natural gas. According to the agreement, the EU member states will consume its natural gas at least 15%as much as possible from August this year to March next year. This is to store more natural gas in the storage tank before winter to ensure that in the cold winter in the cold winter, it is available in the cold winter.

The agreement is also interpreted as the unity of other EU member states to Germany, because Germany, the largest Russian natural gas consumer in the European Union, has also been hit by Russia's "anti -bull". However, the "solar term agreement" reached by the EU Minister of Energy's Energy Minister is voluntarily obeyed by the member states. Only when the risk of "severe natural gas shortage" occurs, 15%of natural gas reduction measures are binding to the EU 27 countries. Essence

The European Union's plan has also been criticized by some member states that do not rely on Russia's natural gas. The most intense one is the South European country including Spain. They believe that under the current technical conditions, they cannot transfer their liquefied natural gas to Germany, Italy or Bulgaria, which are urgently needed, so they are useless now. Southern European countries still remember the tightening plan for its implementation of Berlin after the 2008 international financial crisis. Therefore, they do not understand why citizens and companies in all EU countries should suffer losses in the winter to save the German economy. Hungarian Foreign Minister Seato said that the agreement was "unreasonable, unnecessary, inevitable and harmful", and completely ignored the interests of countries.

However, French Energy Transformed Minister Panier-Lunahexie believes that the agreement symbolizes European unity. She said that European unity is absolutely necessary, because European industrial production chain is completely interdependent. She warned: "If the German chemical industry" cough ", then the entire European industry will fall into a pause."

The German Economic Minister of Economic Minister Habeck believes that Germany relied on Russia's cheap and natural gas time for too long is not a reason to refuse to support Germany. Not only because German production suspension will have a impact on the industry of neighboring countries, it is also a fair issue. Some German politicians also believe that Germany has been showing a unity in the European Union in recent years. German taxpayers have provided tens of billions of euros to save southern European countries with liabilities and should get returns. After the outbreak of new coronary pneumonia, the German and French governments launched a 800 billion euros of recovery fund, and Germany provided the largest guarantee for this. In addition, in order to allow smaller and poorer EU countries to have the opportunity to get vaccines early and sacrifice their own interests to transfer vaccine procurement rights to the EU. When Germany encounters difficulties, other countries should also show their willingness to unite.

The International Monetary Fund predicts that the world economy may face another decline.In major economies, Germany may become the largest losers.As a traditional exported country, Germany's current foreign trade growth has slowed down and social purchasing power has declined.During the fragile economic recovery stage, the labor force in all walks of life, the strikes of ports and airports continued, and the number of new crown pneumonia continued to rise.Economists estimate that in the context of the energy crisis, the German economy is likely to decline and even cause social riots.Germany Foreign Minister Berbek also hinted in an exclusive interview with the media last week that if Germany does not have enough natural gas, society may have "turbulent".To this end, Habeck called on Germany's industrial and families to save natural gas use to avoid having to implement natural gas distribution.In addition, Germany will likely extend the period of use of nuclear power plants and increase the use of coal.The German industry also stated that in order to save natural gas, Germany must reduce production, and there is no choice but to choose from.(Our newspaper Berlin, July 29th. The newspaper in Berlin reporter Wang Huaicheng)

- END -