"The fourth Taiwan Strait crisis has been triggered"

Taiwanese scholar: Perliss's intended visit to Taiwan has triggered the "Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis"

Whether Perosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States Congress, will visit Taiwan tonight as the media. On the 2nd, a scholar in Taiwan's international issue said in an interview with the Global Times reporter that Perosi's possibility of visiting Taiwan was "about 80 %", and the incident had triggered the "fourth Taiwan Strait crisis". Foreign Ministry spokesman Hua Chunying reiterated at a regular press conference on the 2nd that the United States should give up any attempt to play the "Taiwanese card", the words and deeds should be consistent, and the three joint communiqués of China and the United States should be abide by a Chinese principle and fulfilling China and the United States. If the United States is alone, all serious consequences will be responsible for all the serious consequences of the United States.

Lin Quanzhong (Johnchuan-Tiong) from Taiwan ’s Japan Research Center and Professor of International Issues Research Institute from Taiwan has the experience of long-term life and research on the three places on both sides of the strait, and has an in-depth observation of the situation in the Taiwan Strait. "I think Pelosi’ s “visiting Taiwan” incident has triggered the fourth Taiwan Strait crisis! "Lin Quanzhong told the Global Times reporter that although Perlis has not officially announced its" visiting Taiwan "so far It has brought the most severe situation since the Taiwan Strait's third crisis in 1996. China and the United States have increased their attention to unprecedented heights. The Biden government has faced the largest diplomatic crisis in China and the United States since taking office. Lin Quanzhong also said that the above is purely his personal point of view.

According to media induction, two sides of the strait experienced three "Taiwan Straits Crisis" after 1949. The first occurred from 1954 to 1955. In December 1954, the United States and Taiwan authorities signed the so -called "Common Defense Treaty" to place China's Taiwan province under the "protection" of the United States. The US government continued to intervene in the wrong policy of China's internal affairs, which caused the long -term tension between the Taiwan Strait region. The issue of Taiwan has since become a major dispute between China and the United States. On January 18, 1955, the Three Army of the East China Military Region of the Chinese People's Liberation Army collaborated to launch an offensive combat against the Yijiangshan Island in the eastern part of Zhejiang Province. After less than a day of battle, the PLA occupied the island, Wang Shengming, the commander of Yijiangshan Island, was killed, and the deputy commander Wang Fuyu was captured.

The second "Taiwan Strait Crisis" was the famous "Golden Gate Artillery". The narrow "Golden Gate Artillery" refers to a battle that occurred between Kinmen and its surroundings from August 23 to October 5, 1958. The entire shells continued from August 23, 1958 to December 31, 1978.

The third "Taiwan Strait Crisis" was from 1995 to 1996 due to the tense situation caused by the US leader Lee Teng -hui's visit to the United States due to the US leader Lee Teng -hui. In July and March 1996, China carried out two large -scale missile launches in large -scale missiles and postponed the second round of "Wang Gu talks". Chinese measures shake the United States and defend the national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

What is the possibility of Perosi to visit Taiwan? Lin Quanzhong believes that "about 80 %", because its "trip to Asia" is not formulated by the US government, and is mainly determined by Pelosi himself. The reason why the reason for 20 % is that the strong response of the Chinese side may prompt Peros to consider the risk of visiting Taiwan. Lin Quanzhong also said that China and the United States need to establish a control mechanism for the Taiwan Strait crisis.

Lin Quanzhong has visited the Junyue Hotel, Taipei, who may stay in Perlis many times. He told the Global Times reporter that the hotel is very close to the Taipei City Government. There are not too many dense buildings. Cai Yingwen, Ma Ying -jeou and others often meet here, so security personnel are familiar with the hotel's situation. At present, if Pelosi arrives in Taiwan, the probability of staying at the Junyue Hotel is higher.

Lin Quanzhong also revealed that generally, if you do n’t need to enter the hotel, you can observe whether there will be someone who wants to stay across the road. Because a batch of plainclothes will appear near the hotel early, confirming whether there are suspicious people or things, their expression, standing, and actions are different from ordinary guests, and they will know at a glance. In addition, in addition to Taipei Songshan Airport, Pelosi may also arrive from Taichung Qingquan Airport. Previously, there were also American members to reach Taiwan.

So, if Pelosi visits Taiwan, will Japan be striked on the issue of Taiwan as an American allies? Lin Quanzhong said to the Global Times reporter's analysis that it would not be possible in the short term. This time, the Chinese side's response to Peross's "visiting Taiwan" incident is quite strong. Other countries have a barrier effect, and no one will imitate in the short term. As for the future, it is not clear at present, and now it is too early to judge that Japan's movement of Taiwan issues.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Hua Chunying reiterated at a regular press conference on the 2nd that the history of the Taiwan issue was clear and clear, and the facts and status quo of the two sides of the strait were clear. We resolutely oppose the division of "Taiwan independence" and interference in external forces, and will never leave any space for any form of "Taiwan independence" forces. The Chinese government and the Chinese people's positions on the issue of Taiwan are consistent. It is resolutely maintaining the firm will of the Chinese people in more than 1.4 billion Chinese people in resolutely maintaining China's sovereign security and territorial integrity. The realization of the entire unity of the motherland is the common wish of all Chinese children.

Global Times-Global Network Reporter Xing Xiaojing

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