The Shanghai people are "confused" today: cool enough to not know what to wear?IntersectionBut experts said that this year is the coolest year for the next 10 years?Authoritative response →

Shanghai friends

After experiencing so many 40 ℃ high temperature this summer

Is everyone this morning?

Feel particularly comfortable at once?

Today, there are many cloud systems all over the sky. Sometimes there are shower or thunderstorms. At present, the temperature in the city is around 27 ° C. It is expected to be up to 32 ° C, the northeast wind is 4-5, and the northwind is 7 ~ 9th. The air is relatively relative. The humidity is 90%to 50%. It is much more comfortable than high temperature and heat.

Many Shanghai netizens said

I don't know how to wear clothes this time

Confused ing

Weather in Shanghai in the next few days

Affected by the cold and cold air from 25 to 26, Shanghai had a relatively obvious weather process and accompanied by lightning and short -term heavy precipitation. After the 26th, it mainly focuses on cloudy to overcast, sometimes there are rain or thunderstorms.

August 25th (Thursday): Cloudy to yin, there will be decentralized showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon, 28-34 degrees

August 26 (Friday): Yin to cloudy sometimes shows shower or thunderstorms, 27-31 degrees

August 27th (Saturday): Yin has shower to turn overcast to cloudy, 25 ~ 31 degrees

August 28 (Sunday): Yin to cloudy, 25 ~ 30 degrees

After finally sending away the high temperature

But if you tell you now

This year is the coolest year in the next 10 years

Will you collapse a bit?

Is this really or fake?

On August 22, a topic named#8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 The topic of the year in the next 10 years has received widespread attention from netizens. The topic reading has reached 527,000. Netizens are worried about high temperature weather in the future.

The picture shows some topics of some media released. Picture source: Weibo screenshot

This

The Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences conducted rumors

On the evening of the 22nd, the official Weibo of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences issued a explanation of the "Research on the Research on the Research on Weibo", which responded to the online transmission "this year is the coolest year in the next 10 years". Bo Gong's fiscal method is the interpretation of the original meaning of the paper.

The full text is as follows

Our scholar published in 2020 in "Nature-Communication" entitled "Emerurs Constrains on Future Projects of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High". It focuses on the high temperature room gas emissions (RCP8.5), which is concerned. By 2100, the possible changes in the high -pressure high -pressure northwest Pacific subtropical. The work of this paper is not related to the occurrence and prediction of extreme high temperature events in the near future.

To estimate the long -term climate change at the end of this century, the climate model must be used, but due to the level of science and technology development, the current model results still have uncertainty. In terms of climatic estimation, it reflects the differences in the response of different modes to the same greenhouse gas forced, such as the 35 climate model of the "Fifth International Coupling Model Comparison Plan" (CMIP5). As a result, each other is very different. In order to reduce this uncertainty and give more accurate long -term change estimates, this paper uses a method internationally called "Emerurs Constraint". The reliable physical connection between the current climate state and the future state uses the current rich observation data to make a correction of the deviation of the original estimated results of the climate model.

In summary, this paper does not involve the temperature prediction of temperature in the next 10 years, nor does it propose, nor does it support the conclusion that "this year is the coolest year in the next 10 years". The method of the Weibo public account is the interpretation of the original intention of the thesis, which is hereby explained.

Here is just "turning off the fire"

The typhoon over there is here again

"Saddle" strike

China Meteorological Administration launched a typhoon level 4 emergency response

Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue typhoon yellow warning at 06:00 on August 24

Typhoon No. 9 this year's "saddle" (strong tropical storm) center today (24th) at 5 o'clock in the morning of Yangjiang, Guangdong, about 700 kilometers in the north of the South China Sea (19.2 degrees north latitude, 118.1 degrees east longitude), and The maximum wind power near the center is 10 (25 meters/second), the lowest air pressure in the center is 985 hundred Pache, and the seven -level wind ring radius is 200-240 kilometers.

It is expected that the "saddle" will move north at a speed of about 25 kilometers per hour, and the intensity will gradually increase. From the morning of the 25th to the afternoon of the afternoon, the coastal landing from Shenzhen, Guangdong to Zhanjiang (25-33 meters/s, 10 —Lay 12, strong tropical storm or typhoon), the intensity gradually weakened after landing.

Dafeng forecast: 08:00 on the 24th to 08:00 on the 25th, the waters of the northeast of the South China Sea, the eastern part of the South China Sea, the Basilica Strait, the southern part of the Taiwan Strait, the eastern part of the North Bay, the waters near the Xisha Islands, the waters near the Zhongsha Islands, and the southwestern Taiwan Island The coastal coast, the coast of Guangdong, and the eastern coast of Hainan will have 6-8 gales. The wind power in the nearby waters or regions passed by the "saddle" center can reach level 9-12, and the gusts are 13-14.

Precipitation forecast: 08:00 on the 24th to 08:00 on the 25th, there are heavy rain or heavy rain along the coast of southern Guangdong, northeast Hainan, and south of Guangxi, and heavy rain (100-120 mm).

Affected by the "saddle" of typhoons, lying more on the high -speed rail temporary suspension

Affected by the "saddle" No. 9 this year, in order to ensure the safety of the train, the Shenzhen Railway Department will take a suspension measure for passenger trains who will get or start in Shenzhen on 24-26. , Futian Station suspension of 3 columns, Shenzhen Pingshan Station suspension of 1 column, the specific information is as follows: slide up and read

1. On August 24th, Shenzhen North Station G6204 and G6146/7 were suspended.

2. On August 24-25, Futian Station G6212 and G6236 were suspended.

3. August 24-25 Shenzhen North Station G6266, G2908/9 times, G2918/9 times, G6312 times, G6222 times, G6256 times, D2294 times, D684 times, D690 times, G80 times, G320 times, G320 times , G830/1 times, G882 times, G1002 times, G6258 times, G6234 times, G1190 times, G1310 times, G1312/3 times, G6240 times, G6208 times, G2904 times, G6142/39 times, G2748 times, G2748 times Times, G2728 times, G1040/1 times, G2752 times, G6262 times, G6024 suspension.

4、8月25日深圳北站G2922/3次、D3666次、D662次、D666次、 D7444/1次D7448/5次、D664次、D668次、D7332次、 D2308次、G1008次、G1004次、 G2902次、G2906次、G6220次、G2926/7次、G6216次、G1192次、G636次、G698次、G2268/9次、G2710次、G2712次、G6324次、G2726次、G2762次、G2764次、G2730 Times, G2794 shutdown.

5. On August 25-26, Shenzhen North Station G280, G2896/7 times, G2962 times, G3156/7 times, G822/3 times, G826/7 times, G6032 times, G6042/3 times, G1006 times, G6246 times 、G6232次、G6206次、G6244次、G6250次、G2138/5/8次、G1186次、G2694/1/4次、G2282次、G2698/5/8次、G2912次、G2916次、G2736次、G1040 /Once, C9896, G342 shutdown.

6. August 26th, Shenzhen Pingshan Station G1023/2 was suspended.

7. August 25-26 Futian Station G336 was suspended.

The railway department will adjust the train traffic plan in real time according to the changes in typhoons. For specific affected vehicles, please refer to the 12306 website (mobile app) and station announcement. Because the train is temporarily suspended, it brings inconvenience to your travel. Please forgive me.

Passengers who purchased tickets for shutdown trains are not within 30 days from the date of the ticket (including the same day). At the station's artificial window and 12306 website (mobile phone APP), the refund fee will not be charged. Passengers with cash payment and printing and reimbursement vouchers have been used to receive cash and submit reimbursement vouchers to the railway station window within 180 days from the date of refund (including the day).

Affected by typhoons, Shenzhen Shekou Cruise Mother Port was suspended across the board

The reporter learned from the Shenzhen Shenzhen Transportation Bureau that due to the "saddle" of Typhoon, from August 24th to August 26th, 2022, Shenzhen Shekou Cruise Mother Port was suspended. Visitors could refund the tickets for free through ticket purchase channels.

Some A -level scenic spots in Nansha, Guangzhou are suspended to the outside world

On August 23, the reporter learned from Nansha District that in order to ensure the safety of tourists, according to the requirements of the typhoon "saddle" defense work requirements, from immediately, A -level scenic spots such as Nansha Tianhou Palace, Nansha Wetland, Million Sunflower Park, Eighteen Luohan Mountain Forest Park, and other A -level scenic spots and other scenic spots and eighteen Luohan Mountain Forest Park The Waterbird World Ecological Park is suspended to the outside world. The specific recovery time will be notified separately. Please pay close attention to the weather forecast and early warning information, do personal protection, and plan the itinerary reasonably.

This article is comprehensive: CCTV News, Shanghai Weather, Atmospheric Physics Research Institute Weibo, Newsfang

WeChat editor: Jiasinmin

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