It is expected that the temperature in September to October is too high, and the possibility of Fuqiu and drought in Hubei Province is high.

Author:Changjiang Daily Time:2022.08.27

The Yangtze River Daily Da Wuhan Client August 27th (Reporter Song Lei Correspondent Guo Yujun) On August 27, a reporter from the Yangtze River Daily learned from the Office of Wuhan Flood Control and Drought Resistance Headquarters. According to the latest meteorological analysis, Fuqiu Lian drought may occur in Hubei Province. Large sex.

Since July, Hubei Province's precipitation is 50 % less than the same period of the same year. Among them, the average precipitation of the province has been only 12.3 mm since August, which is the least in history. At the same time, the temperature was significantly high. The number of high temperature days was the most at the same time, and the comprehensive intensity reached the strongest since 1961. Various meteorological droughts appeared in the province.

According to the comprehensive analysis of the climate impact factor in the autumn flood season of the preliminary climate, atmospheric circulation, and sea temperature, the Provincial Meteorological Bureau predicts that the possibility of Fuqiu in Hubei Province in the autumn flood season of Hubei Province and the Hanjiang River Basin is high. Most of the precipitation is relatively small. It is expected that the average precipitation of the province in the autumn flood season (September to October) is 80 to 200 mm. Among them, western Hubei 120 to 200 mm and 90-120 mm in the central and eastern parts. Compared with the same period of the same year, the whole province is partially partial 1 to 1 to 30 %. Among them, in September, the precipitation was 60 to 100 mm in western Hubei, 30 to 60 mm in the central and eastern parts, and the province's precipitation was 10 to 40 % less. The temperature is mostly high, with an average temperature of 18 ° C to 20 ° C western Hubei, and most of the other 20 ° C to 23.5 ° C, which is 0.5 ° C to 1.5 ° C higher than the same period of the year. The "cold dew wind" of the Jianghan Plain and East Hubei may appear in the middle of late September, which is later than usual.

The Provincial Meteorological Bureau also predicts that the precipitation in the Hanjiang River Basin is less downstream and downstream, and there are more upstream. It is estimated that the precipitation of the Hanjiang River Basin in the autumn flood season (September to October) is 110 to 350 mm. Among them, the west and south of the Hanjiang River are 200 to 350 mm in the south, and the upstream northeast and the middle and lower reaches are 110 to 150 mm. Compared with the same period of the same year, the upper reaches of the Han River is 1 to 30 %, of which 20 % to 30 % are more than 20 % to 30 %, and the middle and lower reaches are 10 % to 20 %. Combined with the pre -precipitation live and the trend of precipitation in the autumn flood season, it is expected that the possibility of autumn floods in the Hanjiang River Basin is not high.

The Provincial Meteorological Bureau suggested to strengthen the scientific management and deployment of water resources, pay attention to water storage and water, and make preparations for the prevention of Fuqiu and Drought in advance. At the same time, strengthen the inspection and prevention of forest fire insurance inspections.

Experts from the Office of the Municipal Flood and Drought Resistance Headquarters introduced that the drought occurred during the three volt periods was called a drought, and the summer drought refers to the drought that occurred in June -August. The drought in the Yangtze River Basin is the summer drought; drought. Autumn is the season when autumn crops are mature and overwintering crops. Autumn droughts will not only affect the production of autumn grains that year, but also affect the growth of wintering crops such as winter wheat. Seasonal drought refers to the continuous droughts of two or more seasons, such as drought in spring and summer, drought in summer and autumn, and droughts. Due to the vast across my country, the distribution of precipitation in precipitation is very uneven, and the growing season of crops in various regions is also different. Therefore, the scarcity of precipitation may occur in any season, and droughts in any season may affect the growth of crops in certain areas.

[Edit: Deng La Xiu]

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