What signals have been passed by international flights?

Author:21st Century Economic report Time:2022.06.21

21st Century Business Herald reporter Gao Jianghong Beijing reported

"Finally, I can return to China!" Huang Yingying, a Chinese who settled in Australia, has been crazy these days. A few days ago, the Chinese embassy and consulate in Australia notified that visas such as family visits, reunion, work, and economic and trade that Chinese people returned to China returned to the application from June 20.

Not only is Australia, in fact, from June 20, the Chinese embassies and consulates in France, Australia, Indonesia, Norway, Spain, the United States, and other national embassies have also relaxed the visa policy to China.

The demand for returning to China is increasing, and various airlines have applied for multiple international routes. Southern Airlines has announced that from June, 7 international routes have been restored. International flights will increase from 36 classes per week to 48 per week, and navigation countries will increase from 20 to 27. Air China, HNA, Capital Airlines and other airlines will also restore some international routes from July to September. In addition, the Vietnamese Aviation Administration said on June 16 that China has approved various airlines of the two countries to operate 2 flights a week. Xiong Wei, an expert in Civil Aviation Resource Network, pointed out, "These new flights have disguised five policies that have been implemented for up to two years."

Good news is not stopped there. The Civil Aviation Administration has recently adjusted the fusion policy for international flights to China. The number of passengers in the international flight disconnection rules was adjusted to 5 days from 7 days after the flight of the flight. At the same time, my country has also adjusted the entry isolation policy accordingly, further shortening the entry isolation time.

"The increase in the number of international flights released the positive signal of the recovery of my country's international market and greatly boosted the market's confidence, which also means that the gradual liberalization of the" five one 'policy and the civil aviation international market is gradually recovering. "Civil Aviation experts Qi Qi said.

International flight increase

With the relaxation of entry control in various countries, international travel has returned to normal, and the global civil aviation market is rapidly recovering, especially the international market. It is because the pace of the entire civil aviation industry has accelerated from the recovery of the new crown pneumonia. On June 20, the Chairman of the International Airlines Association, Willis Walsh, announced in Doha that it would raise the aviation industry in 2022. It will be reduced to $ 9.7 billion, and the net loss rate will be 1.2%. Compared with a huge loss of US $ 137.7 billion in 2020 and a huge loss of US $ 42.1 billion in 2021, this year's civil aviation performance is expected to achieve huge improvements. "It is expected to achieve profitability in the industry in 2023, and North America is expected to make a profit of $ 8.8 billion in 2022," Welry Walsh said optimistic.

But for the Chinese civil aviation industry, it is still difficult to turn losses, especially when the international route market has no recovery. In the past two years, under the "five one" policy, the number of international flights in my country has been strictly controlled, and the number of flights has decreased by about 90 % compared with 2019. Now the policy seems to have signs of looseness.

Recently, the website of the Chinese embassy in Italy has released news that the relevant departments of the two parties work together will work together, and the direct flights will be resumed in the near future. Flying from Loos Airlines to China NO976 (Milan to Nanjing) will be operated on June 20. At the same time, Rome to Chongqing from Hainan Airlines from direct flights from Hainan Airlines, Milan to Beijing direct flight from China International Airlines (the first entry point is Hohhot) and the Milan to Tianjin from Milan to Tianjin It will also recover in the near future.

Prior to this, Capital Airlines announced the resumption of Xi'an-Risbon Passenger flights on June 11. Since June 12, Air China has resumed the development of Chengdu, which has been suspended for nearly a year, to Nepal Kandamu International Passenger flight. HNA has also resumed the Shenzhen-Vancouver-to-Vancouver direct flight from June 9th. From June 7th, the Beijing-Brussels International route will be resumed. The international route has also resumed.

There may be China Southern Airlines that can restore the most international flights in one breath. China Southern Airlines recently disclosed that from June, 7 international routes have been restored. International flights will increase from 36 classes per week to 48 per week (round -trip and 2 classes). indivual.

It is worth noting that these flights are regular flights. In addition to these flights, domestic airlines have actively increased the number of international flights through charter and overtime flights in recent months.

The 21st Century Business Herald has learned from the statistics of international route approval disclosed by the official website of the Civil Aviation Administration that the major domestic airlines have applied for overtime overtime in June and July, and there are as many as 41 international routes of charter machines, while the number in the first two months is only 38. And 12.

At the routine press conference of the Civil Aviation Administration held on June 17, Liang Nan, the director of the Department of Transportation of the Civil Aviation Administration, revealed that under the premise of ensuring epidemic prevention safety, orderly arrangements for international flight operations are conducive to my country's economic development and Chinese and foreign personnel exchanges, but also the exchanges between Chinese and foreign personnel. The need to achieve sustainable development of the aviation transportation industry. Under the overall planning of the joint prevention and control mechanism of the State Council, the Civil Aviation Administration is negotiating with some countries to gradually and steadily increase regular international passenger flights to meet personnel needs.

This is the clearest signal issued by the recent official flight.

Release positive signals

In fact, from June 1, signs of recovery of international flights have begun to appear.

At that time, the Civil Aviation Administration of China issued a new international flight disconnection regulation. The original flight was confirmed within one week of landing, and the fuse was triggered, and the fuse was triggered within 5 days of the flight landing, which was equivalent to reducing statistics from the number of diagnosis for two days.

According to the "Notice of Adjusting the Trial of the Adjustment of the Meltry Measures for International Term Terminal Flights on Term Terminal Flights" issued on April 28, 2021, after the airline chose to control the operating measures of the passenger rate, the number of passengers in the same entry flight will reach 5 cases. The flight operation was 2 weeks; if 10 cases were reached, the flight was suspended for 4 weeks of the week. Synchronization with the adjustment of the fuse policy, there are also entry isolation policies in various places. In fact, as early as April, there were already eight cities including Xiamen, Dalian, Shanghai, and Suzhou piloting the epidemic prevention and control measures, including shortening the centralized isolation time of entry personnel and secrets. Subsequently, these policies were rolled out to more cities across the country. The small procedures for the "State Council Client" showed that the isolation time of many entry -people entry personnel in Nanjing, Wuxi, and Changzhou City, Jiangsu Province was adjusted to "7+7". Beijing's entry personnel isolation time is adjusted from the original "14+7" to "10+7". The isolation time of immigration personnel in Wuhan City, Hubei Province has been adjusted from the original "14+7" to "7+7". The Sichuan Centers for Disease Control and Prevention also released news to optimize the closed -loop management measures of immigration personnel, and the number of centralized isolation days from ports from the Sichuan province is shortened from 14 days to 10 days.

In addition, since Southeast Asia, the embassies and consulates in our country in overseas countries have issued notices to adjust the application procedures for foreign personnel to visit China. Relevant personnel can apply for visas such as visiting relatives, work, and business directly with relevant information. For example, the Chinese Embassy in Austria, the Embassy in Germany, and the Czech embassy stated that they exempt from visa invitations to employment staff in China. The entry testing requirements have also been canceled.

"We believe that this represents signs of recovery after falling into the bottom of the valley from April to May." China Merchants Securities analyzed that from the current number of international flights, the number of recovery is still limited. At the beginning of this year, the State Council proposed "the orderly recovery of the" orderly travel in the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" Tourism Industry Development Plan "." We believe that the Shanghai epidemic is a process of delaying the steady recovery of the international line, but it has not changed this direction of planning. It is believed that the opening of the international line will be carried out in an orderly and steadily under the requirements of ensuring epidemic prevention. "Xiong Wei believes that" in the future, the trend of resumed international flights will be more obvious. "

The orderly opening of international flights and experimental loosening of the isolation policy can be regarded as an important measure to respond to the spirit of the State Council's spirit of stabilizing the economic market. Under the premise of ensuring security, it is important to promote the opening of logistics and transportation.

The increase in international flights can help domestic airlines in difficulties to increase meager profits. It is understood that the current imbalance in international flights has led to high fares. Almost all flights are full -priced, and flying profits can be considerable. This is why many airlines apply for dozens of overtime flights and charter machines from the Civil Aviation Administration every month.

"Even if the five two policies are implemented, the number of increased flights is limited," Qi Qi believes that the current demand market is still tight, not only the needs of Chinese visiting relatives and international students, but also a large number of Chinese -funded employees to go overseas. The needs of the job, these needs even need to be achieved through charter.

"I haven't seen a large -scale relaxation and incremental situation," "Qi Qi believes that whether it will continue to relax the restrictions on international flights in the future, it may still evaluate the relaxation effect and depend on the development of the epidemic. "I can only say that there is a trend of adjustment."

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