One year after the "Oukus" anti -China Alliance, questioning greatly increased

The British "Guardian" on September 14th, the original title: The "Oukus" agreement announced that one year later, its doubts about its future are increasing, while China's strength continues to grow a year ago. Three -sided partnership. The two largest rotating gears in this machine are Australian frigates fleets and demand for new submarines. The increasing threat and ability from China is the driving force for Canberra to reach the Opus agreement. However, doubts about Oukus and submarine projects are increasing.

Sam Rogwin, director of the International Security Project of the Roy International Policy Research Institute, said two of the three "advocates" of the Oukus agreement have left the political stage. Other doubts are related to the political factors of the agreement. If the United States' determination to counterattack in region disappears in region, Australia will be "isolated and helpless." He believes that this ability to curb us with the United States -this matter itself has a dangerous provocation -strategy. However, if the United States is determined to use force in the region, Australia may be abandoned. "If Americans are not so serious? In the end, we can only rely on ourselves."

Australia's "Pearl and Stimulation" website on September 15th, original title: Defense Strategy Evaluation -Can we rely on the United States? China, China, China, China is a monster! This is what we have heard from the Australian government, defense department and media commentators over the past five years. Some people seem to be determined to emphasize this through words and deeds -for example, for the "five -eye movement" of Huawei, China, the epidemic is attributed to China and sent the sea and air forces to participate in the "free navigation" exercise.

Inadvertently, they also attracted people's attention to more realistic "threats" (they don't seem to care about this issue): China can damage the Australian economy by looking for other trading partners. Coal and iron ore.

In the past 70 years, our country's view of who is the enemy has been changing. Soon after World War II, our enemy was still Japan, and later became Indonesia ... and then China. As for our allies, there is only one real ally since World War II, which is the United States. But the moment of re -evaluation of the defense relationship with the United States must have arrived.

The United States that Australians admire and try to imitate are still our "great and powerful friends" -as described by many politicians in Australia. But it is no longer a model. The recent survey of the violence prevention project of the University of California Davis highlights this reality: 50.1%of the respondents believe that the United States will have a civil war in the next few years. Researchers said that similar studies have shown that there is a high degree of distrust in American society and institutions, and a considerable part of the population agrees with violence, including fatal force to achieve political purposes. This is the United States now. Australia should also pay attention to what the United States will look like after 10, 20, and 30 years. Australia must have a plan B, a plan to prevent the United States from becoming the core of Australia's defense strategy. (Author David Solomon, translated by Qiao Heng) ▲

- END -