In 2025, China is expected to open space travel commercial aerospace ushered in the wind

Cover Journalist Zhu Zhu

On September 17, Yang Yiqiang, the first chief commander of the "Long March 11" Rockets, mentioned in an interview that China is expected to start a Asian orbit in 2025, the fare is about 2 million to 3 million yuan. " It is expected to turn on space travel "to board the hot search, which has also aroused the public's expectations for the commercialization of Chinese aerospace.

Since China ’s commercial aerospace“ ice breaking ”in 2015, private aerospace entrepreneurship enterprises have emerged in large quantities, and the development momentum has advanced. It has achieved landing applications in the fields of navigation, remote sensing, satellite. In July of this year, China's first commercial aerospace launch site started in Wenchang, Hainan, and became another milestone in the development of the industry.

However, in the past 7 years, private aerospace companies are in a "accumulation" stage. Some industry persons have pointed out that the development of China's commercial aerospace is facing bottlenecks such as insufficient equipment and immature markets. consider.

Commercial aerospace is expected to enter the 3.0 era within 5 years

“目前，中国的商业航天已从1.0时代进入2.0时代，并有望在5年内进入3.0时代。”近日，“长征十一号”火箭首任总指挥杨毅强在接受《环球时报》采访时提到， With the improvement of the Chinese aerospace business model, in just a few years, the "space travel" that can only be imagined will become a reality.

Yang Yiqiang is currently the director of the China Academy of Sciences Air Flight Science and Technology Center. He is also the founder of a private aerospace company. He also said that commercial rockets are essentially carriering tools. The main profit model in the future is to charged at kg, and developed advertising naming and cultural tourism. Wait for extension service. In addition, the key to the development of Chinese commercial aerospace is not rockets or satellites, but applications, the closer to the business income of ordinary people and end users.

At present, China's commercial aerospace "from 0 to 1" has formed a full industry chain from developing to launch, operation and application, driving the rapid development of related industries. The white paper in "China Aerospace 2016" mentioned that it is necessary to encourage the orderly participation of private capital and social forces to participate in aerospace scientific research and production, space infrastructure construction, space information product services, satellite operation and other aerospace activities.

For the development direction of commercial aerospace, the white paper of "2021 China Aerospace" was released in January this year that in the next 5 years, China Aerospace will "cultivate the development of space tourism, space biopharmaceutical, space fragmentation, space test service and other new space economies. Fate, improve the scale of the scale of the space industry. "

Hundreds of private companies compete for commercial aerospace tracks

In fact, the competition in the global commercial aerospace has already begun. The emergence of blue origin, Space X, One Web and other well -known companies has accelerated the development of this field. As of now, the "Star Chain" project of SpaceX has been launched in accordance with the cumulative launch More than 2000 satellites.

With the advent of the satellite Internet era, aerospace has become China's national strategy. How can Chinese companies get out of the commercialization of SpaceX like SpaceX? Since 2015, with a variety of factors such as policy support, capital blessings, and market demand, commercial aerospace companies have gradually entered the public's sight and added fresh blood to industrial development.

According to statistics from Tianyan Check, hundreds of private commercial aerospace companies include commercial rocket companies represented by blue arrow aerospace and Xinghe Power, as well as commercial satellite companies represented by micro -nano starry sky and galaxy space.

In May 2018, China's first "private self -developed and business Asian orbit rocket" independently developed by Zero One Space was successfully launched. It is reported that the cumulative financing amount disclosed by the company has been more than 1 billion yuan; Domestic private rocket companies have successfully launched for the first time and the first-time commercial launch of one-arrow multi-star; the development path of the benchmarking SpaceX, on May 6 this year, the Deep Blue Space Test Rocket "Nebula-M" completed the 1 km vertical take-off and landing, landing and landing Flight test to achieve successful recovery. Since the beginning of this year, Deep Blue Space has completed two rounds of financing for three consecutive months.

According to the data released at the 7th China Commercial Space Summit Forum in 2021, the financing amount in the domestic commercial aerospace field in 2020 exceeded 10 billion for the first time, compared with 61.21%compared with 2019. Driven by capital, low -orbit satellites, one -arrow multi -star, and rocket recycling into a key layout direction, related companies may seize development opportunities.

There are bottlenecks such as insufficient tools and immature markets

Although commercial aerospace starts late, China has also formed a certain market size in the field of commercial aerospace. According to Ai Media Consultation data, the size of China's commercial space market will remain above 20%from 2017 to 2024. It is expected that the size of the commercial space market in 2024 will reach 2338.2 billion yuan.

So while the development trend is better, is there still a bottleneck at present? In an interview with the cover of the cover of the School of Engineering of Peking University, Wang Bo said in an interview with the cover of the cover that commercial aerospace still needs to rely on national support to complete some tasks and lack the ability to achieve relevant new technologies alone.

"The development of the industry is still in its infancy. The existing profit model mainly provides commercial satellite launch and serving services.Bo Wenxi told reporters that "entering the 3.0 era within 5 years" is largely possible, and commercial aerospace is basically normal service status.Regarding whether the commercialization model of "space travel" in the future will be popular in China, Zhang Dexin, editor -in -chief of the Chinese cultural tourism innovation and entrepreneurial think tank series, believes that traveling to space has certain needs, but at presentIt is expensive, and people need to receive corresponding training in space. In addition, there are certain risks. "Zhang Dexin further stated that in the future, the development of commercial aerospace still needs to consider from the perspective of reducing costs and improving use efficiency.

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