In August, house prices in Beijing rose second in the country, but regional declines have fallen by more than 6%year -on -year.

Author:Huaxia Times Time:2022.09.17

北京8月房价涨幅全国第二,却有区域同比跌幅超6%,郊区“老破小”拖后腿?

A real estate in Beijing. Dong Hongyan Photo

China Times (chinatimes.net.cn) reporter Li Beibei reporter Dong Hongyan Beijing report

On September 16th, the National Bureau of Statistics released the house price index in August 70, 2022. Beijing's newly -built commercial housing prices rose 0.4%month -on -month, a year -on -year increase of 5.8%, and second -hand housing prices increased by 0.2%month -on -month. The year -on -year increase in second -hand housing ranked second in the country.

Since the beginning of this year, Beijing's overall house prices have remained steadily rising. However, housing prices in some areas in Beijing have maintained a continuous decline, and the month -on -year decline in a single month in some areas is even as high as 6%.

"It is expected that in the fourth quarter, the Beijing property market will continue to rise slowly, but the differentiation between regions will continue to exist. It is expected that the rising power of the area with small supply in the new house will be strong." 58 Anjuke Zhang Bo, dean of the Branch of Real Estate Research Institute, analyzed the reporter of the Huaxia Times.

The overall increase is the leading country

Beijing's overall housing price does not seem to be affected by the epidemic and national market conditions. House prices have maintained a rise all the way, and the increase has been in the leading position across the country.

According to data from the Bureau of Statistics, from January to July 2022, the price of new houses in Beijing's new houses per month remained at 4%-6%, and the price of second-hand housing increased by 4%-8%year-on-year; the monthly price of new houses rose from 0.8%- 7%, the price of second-hand housing rose -0.1%-7%month-on-month; in August, the price of new houses in Beijing rose 0.4%month-on-month, an increase of 5.8%year-on-year, and the price of second-hand houses increased by 0.2%month-on-month. The year -on -year increase and second -hand houses ranked second in the country.

It is worth noting that from January to August 2022, the price of second-hand housing in Beijing has been in the top three year-on-year increases.

Regarding the new house, Zhang Bo pointed out: "From the perspective of finding a house on the Anju Line, the heat of new houses in first -tier cities in August fell 0.8%month -on -month, but Beijing rose 5.1%month -on -month. It can be seen that the Beijing market is still at the bottom of the bottom. "

For second -hand housing, Guo Yi, chief analyst of He Shuo Agency, believes that the market price of second -hand housing in Beijing is more driven by education such as education and other related rigid buying houses. Such rigid demand people are the core group of second -hand housing transactions in Beijing. They are mostly located in the industrial gathering area, with stable income and can withstand a higher unit price. The rise in second -hand house prices in industrial gathering places such as Haidian, Wangjing, Yaao, and Yizhuang is affected by this.

It is reported that after the start of school in September this year, all the teachers will be carried out in Beijing 16 districts. Some market participants analyze that this will break the barriers of the school district. However, it is worth noting that although the current rotation, it has not broken through the administrative region and is rotating in the administrative area. Therefore, the differences in educational resources between various areas will still exist, and buyers still exist in the rigid demand of the school district.

According to the statistics of the China Referendum, the regions where the school districts such as Haidian District, Xicheng District, Dongcheng District, Chaoyang District, etc. have continued to lead the housing prices in each month of each month. At the same time, the year -on -year growth rate of each month has basically maintained above 5%.

House prices in some areas have declined

Although Beijing's overall housing prices have remained strong, housing prices in some areas in Beijing have been in a decline.

According to the Chinese Index, the price of second-hand housing in the Shunyi area of ​​Beijing from March to August 2022 was decreased. Among them, the month-on-month decrease was 0.74%, which only increased by 0.09%in May. Not only is Shunyi District, Tongzhou District, Mentougou District, Fangshan District, housing prices in suburban areas such as Huairou District, Pinggu District, Miyun District, Yanqing District also lack a certain amount of toughness. Only the house prices in Daxing District and Changping District are relatively stable in the suburbs.

微信图片_20220917132122 (1).jpg

Data source: middle finger research institute

On September 15, a intermediary in Shunyi District told the reporter of Huaxia Times: "The house prices here have declined since last year, and the overall drop has been reduced by about 5%. Yuan is not waiting. "

Regarding the decline in housing prices such as Shunyi, Guo Yi said that there are reasons for industrial development and market supply. Guo Yi believes that although Shunyi has an airport, the industry in the entire area is mainly based on traditional industries, logistics industries and high -end manufacturing. The industry's income support for related population is not particularly strong. "In recent years, the supply of second -hand housing in Shunyi has been relatively large, which has also caused the housing prices in the entire area to show a downward state." Guo Yi added.

Guo Yi believes that, in addition to some new houses with good quality, Shunyi's second -hand house, especially "old and small", the price will still be maintained.

In fact, the price of "old and small" in the suburbs such as Shunyi is declining, and housing prices in old areas in the main urban area have also declined. "The old communities on the side of Paeonal Heroes have begun to fall in April in April in recent years. After that, the transaction volume has not been high, and the price has dropped slowly." On September 13, a real estate intermediary of Lianjia Real Estate Real Estate Tell the reporter of Huaxia Times.

The real estate agency also said that although there are also school districts, the clients are more inclined to the nearest community with new buildings and better quality. There are a lot of houses here, and property management is relatively average.

In this regard, Zhang Bo analyzed: "It is expected that in the fourth quarter, the Beijing property market will continue to rise slowly, but the differentiation between regions will continue to exist. It is expected that the dynamic power of rising housing prices with small supply in new houses will still increase. Strong. "

Facing pressure

Although the overall housing prices in Beijing have risen, the markets in some areas also have great degradation pressure. According to statistics released by the Beijing Housing and Urban Construction Commission, as of the end of August 2022, there were 78,446 units in Beijing's housing housing, 9.2419 million square meters, and 29,996 sets of residential housing inventory and 3.763 million square meters. Ten thousand square meters. Under the circumstances that the national real estate market environment is not ideal, local regions are adapted to local conditions to formulate new property market policies. According to the statistics of the Chinese Index, as of September 13, in 2022, more than 250 provinces and cities have optimized and adjusted the property market policy over 700 times. Among them, rare first -tier cities such as Beijing, Beijing and other first -tier cities still implement strict purchase restriction policies.

In this case, multiple projects in Beijing began to launch special housing. For example, Yunjingtai launched a weekend special room, saying that special housing starts 2 million, and three bedrooms start at 2.29 million. The total price of square meters is about 5.4 million.

For the "Golden Nine Silver Ten", real estate sales staff does not seem to have much expectation. On September 9th, a intermediary personnel in Shell told the reporter "Huaxia Times": "There is nothing different from the gold nine silver and ten. The number of people who come to buy a house may be a little more. From October to November. "

Editor -in -chief: Zhang Bei Editor: Zhang Yuning

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