Promote the rotation of teachers in many places!School district houses "do not fall myth" to shatter

Author:First financial Time:2022.09.14

14.09.2022

Number of this text: 2598, the reading time is about 4 minutes older

Guide: The risk of investing in popular school district houses is greatly increased, and it is likely to "high -level standing."

Author | First Finance Ma Yifan

In the past, the school district housing was almost a "no -fall myth". Many first -tier and second -tier cities such as Beijing, Shenzhen, and Shanghai have appeared in the old "old" school district houses with a unit price of more than 200,000 yuan.

Last year, the central government made it clear for the first time that "prevent housing prices in the name of school district housing". After that, the atmosphere of the housing of the school district was promptly rested. With the introduction of a series of balanced education resources, the price of popular school districts in some first -tier and second -tier cities in the first and second -tier cities was prices. Return to reason.

Lu Wenxi, chief analyst of Shanghai Central Plains Real Estate, believes that with the continuous introduction of new policies, parents are no longer rushing to school district houses, and the risk of investing in school district housing is also increasing.

"Old Broken" price falls

The school season is another year.

In order to solve the uneven distribution of educational resources, at the beginning of this year, another heavy policy in Shanghai was implemented -on September 5, Shanghai Huangpu District announced that about 100 teachers in the district will start from this semester to exchange rotations and be selected as selected as this semester, and they will be selected as selected and selected as this semester. In principle, teachers will flow to weak schools in the education group. The mobile teachers will teach in classroom teaching, education and research, and the rotation flow period is three years.

This policy responded to the "Guiding Opinions on Further Strengthening the Construction of the Personnel Management System of Primary and Middle School Teachers in Shanghai" (hereinafter referred to as "Opinions") issued by the Shanghai Education Commission last year. Flowing, flowing time must not be less than 2 years, of which the proportion of backbone teachers is not lower than 20%of the total number of communication rotation teachers.

At the same time, since 2022, all candidates participating in the Shanghai middle school entrance examination have also ushered in a new admission model. The independent enrollment ratio has decreased from 40%to 15%, and the number distribution has increased from 15%to 42%. The district and quota are allocated to the school. This means that all kinds of junior high school graduates will have the opportunity to be promoted to high -quality high schools. Even in the "dishes", hope can be seen, which greatly reduces the anxiety of parents' selection.

This series of policy adjustments will definitely have a profound impact on the school district housing market.

According to Lu Wenxi, the chief analyst of Shanghai Zhongyuan Real Estate, the most intuitive impact is to change the parents' mentality: "In recent years, the adjustment of education policy is very frequent, and there will be a large adjustment in almost two years. Therefore, everyone has been in the past two years. The school district housing is no longer so attractive, the situation of the school district houses in the "hot speculation ', and everyone will not just look at the school district."

In the past, the school district housing was like "Xiaoqiang who could not die" in the property market. Even if other types of real estate were affected by cyclicals, good school district housing would always increase prices. Rich parents spent millions to buy school district houses to send children to read famous schools. After a few years, you can sell the house and make another money.

Parents of the first generation have continued to take over the school district houses, giving birth to a strange phenomenon-in the core area of ​​first-tier and second-tier cities, some "old-fashioned" houses with famous school districts have long lost their residence value, but they can rise to 200,000-30 10,000 yuan/square meter of sky -high price.

Taking Shanghai as an example, the more well -known school district houses include Huangpu's new village, Pudong's Meiyuan Sanjiefang, and Jing'an Haifang Village.

According to the "Shell Finding House" platform, the new village of the Citizen of the Shibo Binjiang Plate of Huangpu District was founded in 1958. More than 76%of the house area is less than 50 square meters. In December 2020, the average transaction price of a 17.8 square meter low -floor one -bedroom households reached 224,700 yuan/square meter. This is a typical school district house for "hanging accounts". Because of the "double echelon" combination of Huangpu Foreign Language Primary School and Datong Junior High School, the community has a high unit price of exceeding 200,000 yuan.

However, in the past year, house prices in the community have not risen. In June this year, a 45 -square -meter small apartment was sold at 156,900 yuan/square meter. Compared The price also reduced about 1700 yuan/square meter. At present, there are three sets of citizens' new villages in the sale, because the apartment types are more than 60 square meters, and the listing price ranges from 110,000 yuan to 1.36 million yuan/square meter.

"The old -fashioned primary district house, which is purely used to hung a hukou, has increased investment risks a lot. Everyone has slowly dropped its enthusiasm for investment." Lu Wenxi told reporters that Meiyuan Sanjiefang is a very typical example. Last year, last year The price of the community has been greatly impacted, especially after the price verification and three -valent policies are introduced.

Another investor told First Financial that the school district housing has been very popular in the past, and a set of selling a set. At present, the transaction price and listing price have declined. On the one hand, it is affected by the verification price. Low prices; on the other hand, everyone's investment confidence has also been shaken by policies, and the risk of investing in school district houses has been greatly improved.

Lu Wenxi said that school district houses are generally about 20%higher than the price of non -school district houses in the same area. With the adjustment of policy, its school district functions continue to weaken because of poor living attributes and renting. "I believe in the future school district and and The gap in the non -school district will slowly flatten, the extreme gap in education will slowly decrease, and children's entry machines are becoming more and more equal. "

Will the school district houses be "cool" completely?

On April 30, 2021, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China was held. The meeting emphasized that it is necessary to adhere to the positioning of the house for living, not for speculation, increase the supply of affordable rental housing and co -owned property housing, and prevent the name district housing from school district housing and other names. House prices. Among them, the "prevention of housing prices in the name of school districts" has attracted much attention. Prior to this, the problem of speculation in school districts appeared frequently in many places, and when "preventing house prices in the name of school district housing" was clearly proposed, localities were actively introducing policies to respond.

On May 17 this year, Hangzhou has launched a new property market that is conducive to the flow of second -hand housing transactions. Under the policy stimulus, the transaction volume of rigid real estate with high residential attributes has increased significantly, but the prices of top school district houses show a decline.

In March 2021, the transaction price of a 59 -square -meter small apartment listing of Wen Dingyuan in Hangzhou's "most expensive district house" was as high as 127,000 yuan/square meter. Data, the unit price of housing in the community dropped to 75,600 yuan. In August this year, a 162 -square -meter listing in the community was only 65,000 yuan/square meter.

Hangzhou school district housing prices were greatly explored at the same degree. Hangzhou almost decided to implement high school enrollment in the school at the same time as Shanghai. In addition, various types of reform measures for the balanced distribution of Education resources in Hangzhou have been discussed.

In fact, the rotation of teachers across the country has been pushed away in large areas, including Jiangsu, Jiangxi, Shanghai, Shenzhen and other places.

Beijing is the first to announce that after the beginning of September this year, 16 districts in the city will carry out teachers' exchanges. Beijing teachers exchange rotations for "two -way flow". Teachers can flow from high -quality schools to general schools or from general schools to high -quality schools. The education department hopes to achieve the basic goals of education balance through regular communication and learning by teachers.

Does the rotation of teachers really mean that the school district houses are completely "cool"?

Lu Wenxi believes that it is difficult to judge the real impact of the implementation of this policy on the property market. "Generally speaking, September is not a key transaction period for school district housing. The most popular school district housing transactions are in March and April each year. It is relatively light. Therefore, it is not possible to see the impact of teachers' rotation on the market. The policy needs to be digested by the market, but I estimate that it will have an impact on the school district market next year. "

"I think there will be a certain market in school district housing, because parents who have higher education for children always exist, but from the perspective of long -term investment attributes, the price of popular school district houses is already high, and the risks are too high to invest." An investor in the Shanghai property market said.

Lu Wenxi said that most of the school district houses are self -use, less investors' hype, and many parents buying school district houses mainly value counterpart primary schools. There are some markets.

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